Our next Sweet Sixteen match has a David vs. Goliath feel to it. On one side is a franchise that has become the gold standard in the sport, with 18 straight 50 plus win seasons (including the 1999 lockout, when they were on pace to win 61 games) since Tim Duncan arrived in 1997-98. On the other side is a franchise that has only won 50 games or more seven times in their 67 year history, and has failed to make the playoffs since the 2005-06 season. Is the battle between the All-Time San Antonio Spurs vs. All-Time Sacramento Kings one-sided? Or will the Kings’ long history help them advance in our tournament?
Key Matchups
Sacramento’s offense vs. San Antonio’s defense: Sacramento has a roster built for high-scoring, fastbreak basketball. They have a lethal penetrator (Tiny Archibald), great shooting off the bench, and two starting big men who can shoot (Jerry Lucas) and pass (Chris Webber) like guards. They also have one of the finest all-around players in NBA history, Oscar Robertson, to get them tough baskets when needed. The Spurs feature three former NBA Defensive Players of the Year (David Robinson, Alvin Robertson, and Kawhi Leonard), along with Tim Duncan, one of the greatest team defenders in NBA history. If the Kings’ perimeter options get hot, expect a lot of minutes from Alvin Robertson and Leonard to try to slow them down. Coach Gregg Popovich may put the 6’7” 230 lb Leonard on Oscar Robertson during crunch time, to minimize his post-up game and to force him to try to score inside over the Spurs’ twin towers.
Biggest Mismatches
San Antonio’s size vs. Sacramento’s lack of size: The Spurs feature two of the greatest big men in NBA history, 7’0” 250 lb Tim Duncan, and 7’1” 235 lb David Robinson starting alongside one another. They also have 7’2” 240 lb Artis Gilmore coming off the bench. The Kings don’t have any seven-footers on their roster, and they’re starting a natural power forward (Chris Webber) at center. The Kings do feature one of the most prolific rebounders in NBA history, Jerry Lucas, at power forward, along with one of the greatest rebounding guards ever, Oscar Robertson. However, they both played in an era where teams missed an abundant number of shots, which inflated the raw rebounding totals seen at that time. It’s hard to believe that San Antonio won’t have an advantage on the boards in this series, and they’ll also have a decided advantage in protecting the paint on defense.
San Antonio’s offense vs. Sacramento’s defense: The Kings do not feature many players known for their work on the defensive end of the court. The Spurs have two former scoring champions (George Gervin and David Robinson), along with a plethora of scoring threats from both inside and out. It’s unclear how Sacramento will be able to stop San Antonio in this series, so they’ll have to outscore them to have a chance to succeed.
X-Factor
Can the Kings’ shooting keep them in this series? In addition to being a very perimeter-oriented team, Sacramento does not have the size to compete against Duncan, Robinson, and company inside, as described above. Sacramento has five Hall-of-Famers in their backcourt, one of the greatest shooting small forwards ever (Peja Stojakovic) and a starting power forward with a deadly mid-range jump shot (Jerry Lucas). Their best chance is to try to outshoot San Antonio, and to space the floor with three to four perimeter threats at all times.
Results
The Spurs offer the complete package on both ends of the court. While Oscar Robertson puts up a valiant effort, and the Kings’ shooters keep them in games, the Spurs dynamic big-man duo is too much for Sacramento to handle.
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Spurs win, four games to one.
Next Round
San Antonio faces the winner of the All-Time Warriors vs. All-Time Rockets.